Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.210317 1.472659 1.805655 2.270878 2.924004 3.842055 5.298948
2025-02-16 0.827939 1.100951 1.497958 2.154314 3.299848 5.436946 10.503029
2025-02-23 0.665574 0.939744 1.378365 2.202656 3.931856 8.186270 24.762350
2025-03-02 0.573227 0.847373 1.320246 2.309912 4.769058 12.894788 78.346247
2025-03-09 0.497488 0.759598 1.236946 2.321017 5.416697 18.961594 345.088876
2025-03-16 0.431268 0.672892 1.129484 2.227935 5.710028 25.098511 3191.616044
2025-03-23 0.397009 0.635894 1.108298 2.331353 6.798603 43.285925 NaN
2025-03-30 0.362824 0.592540 1.062605 2.351175 7.646577 71.386882 NaN
2025-04-06 0.329386 0.545257 0.997749 2.290427 8.101998 108.016683 NaN
2025-04-13 0.302421 0.506873 0.945085 2.246814 8.643396 177.471540 NaN
2025-04-20 0.292059 0.500170 0.964029 2.442713 11.071099 779.913308 NaN
2025-04-27 0.278559 0.484965 0.959174 2.558687 13.394799 9470.034808 NaN
2025-05-04 0.260276 0.457875 0.920711 2.540619 14.720062 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.240931 0.426495 0.866244 2.440592 15.094004 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.229747 0.411704 0.852954 2.506239 17.811703 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.221659 0.402781 0.853797 2.636892 22.418526 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.210822 0.386430 0.831054 2.650656 25.543661 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.197642 0.363474 0.786037 2.538718 25.746144 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.191798 0.356934 0.787504 2.663215 32.965461 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.183960 0.344939 0.770901 2.687127 38.361247 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.174636 0.328631 0.738989 2.613905 40.135687 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.166522 0.314611 0.712328 2.561430 42.822185 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.164719 0.315631 0.732440 2.797742 66.090623 NaN NaN